Salazar and Off Shore Drilling take center stage

Will it be possible for environmental groups and the oil industry to find a middle ground to pave the way for exploration off the coasts of the U.S.? We are going to find out soon enough. Interior Secretary Ken Salazar is opening up the debate for the next six months and I expect the usual rhetoric from environmental groups who detest any drilling whatsoever; they will claim, as usual, that not enough is being done to encourage alternative fuels and development of already-leased federal lands--all which is a bunch of crock. Democrats will invariably find a means to subsidize "renewable" energy by taxing the oil companies if they are allowed to drill under new leases. And as we found out last year, some leased lands or off shore parcels aren't worth drilling because of the high cost or there is little oil to extract.
I have a wait and see attitude on this because I remember how last year the Democrats led by Nancy Pelosi released a 290-page bill on "off shore" drilling--they pushed it through less than 24 hours later, 236-189. "Closed" rules prohibited the GOP from offering alternatives. And the bill was a porker with little prospects of any real off shore drilling. I wonder what this administration up to? I'm suspicious.

I received an e-mail from the intrepid Jane Van Ryan over at the American Petroluem Institute informing me that Secretary Salazar will be in my neck of the woods--San Francisco, California--on Tuesday, April 16th to hold a public hearing on offshore drilling. Oh boy, I expect the protests to be colorful and cartoonish. Here is an excerpt from Jane's informative e-mail:

To give you some background, the Minerals Management Service (MMS) – the federal agency responsible for administering the offshore oil and natural gas program – considers the size, timing, and location of the areas to be considered for federal leasing, and it bases its recommendations on the public’s comments. Although a five-year plan approving increased offshore drilling was released in January, Sec. Salazar directed Interior Department scientists to produce new reports on how much oil and gas might be found off the Atlantic and Pacific coasts and extended the public comment period to September. Regional hearings like the one in San Francisco are part of that public comment period.

We expect that anti-drilling groups will mobilize their members to make up the majority of comments at the San Francisco hearing, but I wanted to let you know that you and your readers can submit comments to MMS electronically, if desired. This link will direct you to a page on our Web site where you can learn more about the MMS five-year plan and click-through to submit a public comment. In addition, the page has several resources for bloggers, including a blog badge and an interactive widget that will allow you to identify your Congressional representatives, find them on Facebook, Twitter and YouTube, or simply send them an e-mail.

So, if any of you are interested in making your voices heard on this issue, this is a good forum to exercise your viewpoint. This country is going to need more energy to power its economy as time goes on--wind mills, solar panels, and bio-fuels will certainly not replace fossil fuels anytime soon. We need to use the resources we have available to us in our own country to keep energy inexpensive and to create jobs. Now is the time to make your voice heard.

OPEC gets tested

The latest example that the powers of OPEC are exaggerated--the drop of the price of a barrel of oil to below $60--that's a roughly 80-90 dollar drop since about July. As soon as oil gets as low as it is now, OPEC members start to reach for each other's throats. There are many lovely things about lower oil prices--one of them is the decreasing ability of political payoffs that most of the OPEC member states rely upon to keep their corrupt regimes afloat. And speaking of corrupt regimes, somewhere in Venezuela Hugo Chavez is sweating it big time--sweet.

Conference call with API

Yesterday, I participated in a blogger conference call with the American Petroleum Institute. The conference was very informative. One of the issues that stood out in my mind was the issue of ethanol subsidies and the cost incurred by taxpayers particularly now since gasoline prices have plummeted quite a bit over the last several months. Right now the cost of producing ethanol and bringing it to market is simply not cost effective but because of congressional mandates, the American taxpayer basically props up an industry that can't compete with gasoline. The question that always sticks in my mind about ethanol is how long before this bad idea of subsidizing ethanol gets undone by our government? Once a government mandate starts, no matter how bad it is, it takes years to undo it--at a substantial cost to the taxpayer.

Moderator:
Jane Van Ryan, Senior Communications Manager, API

Speakers:
Lou Pugliaresi, President, Energy Policy Research Foundation
Rayola Dougher, Senior Economic Advisor, API
Ron Planting, Manager of Statistics, API

Listen to the conference call below:

Where does the foreign oil come from, daddy?

Seems like our Canadian brethren supply us with quite a bit of black gold. When presidential candidates mouth off the usual populist cant against foreign oil, most people think of the middle east. I wonder if the Japanese, Chinese, or Germans put as much effort to demonizing foreign oil as much as we do?

Where, oh where, have the speculators gone?

Remember all the ruckus a while back about how "speculators" were manipulating the crude oil market and how they had a cruel hand in driving up prices? Now that crude oil prices have dropped like a rock, does it mean that these same speculators have decided to let us have a break at their expense? Doubtful. If prices ever head up again expect the usual bromide of blaming Wall Street speculators and Oil companies.

Don’t Knock Price Gouging

Jim Cardoza has an interesting post over at Liberty Pen regarding price gouging at gas stations. I would add the following to his great comment: We understand the benefits of low prices but we have a harder time understanding the advantages of high prices. During a crisis, people will tend to panic and overstock on all essential items like gasoline. Higher prices tend discourage a mad dash to grab every drop of gasoline when there is not enough to go around. Ask yourself this regarding “price gouging,” would you rather have a gas station that decided not to raise prices to match demand and that ran out of gas or would you rather have a gas station that raised its prices to match scarcity and therefore never run out of gasoline during a crisis? Before you have an emotional response, think about it.

Pelosi's Energy News Conference Gets Overwhelmed by Pro-Drilling Americans, Then She Hops in an SUV

HT:Americans for Prosperity

Gasoline dips below $4 in California

Link

Will this drop stop the drive to drill for more domestic supplies? Will cheaper gas make the SUV popular again? Will “alternative” energy investment fall off?

Dollar continues to gain, crude oil falls

As the American dollar continues to climb, commodities (like crude oil) continue to slide. Here’s hoping the dollar rally continues for a while longer; It seems as the dollar may be ending it's seven year slide. On the downside, a strengthening dollar may slow U.S. exports. However, when a currency strengthens, it usually signals that the economy may also be improving.

Chart is from Carpe Diem

Speculators=Vampires II

Has anyone noticed that the price of gas has dropped for 24 consecutive days? I’m sure you have as there has been a drop of 15 cents over the last two weeks. Strange, Congress takes a vacation from doing squat all season and oil prices drop rather nicely. Hmm, maybe it’s just a coincidence.

But what of the conspiracy theories regarding speculators brought forth by progressives and liberal Democrats? Where are these capitalist vampires and why in the world would they let oil prices drop when there are riches to be had? Heck now is a good time to stick it to consumers since Congress is out of town. Why not ratchet the price up ever higher? Who is going to stop you, right? After all, the Enron Loophole is still in place and so are all the laws that sneaky Phil Gramm passed back in 2000 which, according to over active imaginations or political spinsters, are the mechanisms used by speculators to push crude oil prices higher and higher.

But, dear reader, as we have witnessed over the last couple of weeks, the laws of supply and demand, a strengthening dollar, and slowing economies in Europe and the U.S., have proved the conspiracy theorists wrong. What a surprise!

By the way, the U.S. Commodities Futures Trading Commission released the results of its interim investigation into any fraud, wrongdoing, or market manipulation on 07/22/08. And the conclusions of the interim report, “found that fundamental supply and demand factors provide the best explanation for the recent crude oil price increases.” Imagine that.

However, we shouldn’t be surprised if oil prices spike up again due to an unexpected world event (or if the dollar starts to sink again) and that complaints from the Left begin again in earnest. Quite frankly, I would actually be OK if the Enron Loophole were closed. Then, when prices do go up again, we won’t have to hear all the ludicrous theories on how capitalism doesn’t work, more regulation is needed, and how speculators are all making a mint as they tool the market.

Obstructionist by any other name

Pelosi and the Democrats are beholden to the radical environmentalists in their party. Hence, we get the obstruction and the usual straw man arguments regarding drilling for domestic oil supplies.

HT: Jimmy Cardoza at Liberty Pen

The danger of subsidizing renewable energy

Reason.tv has a great video on the fiasco that Bio-fuels made from corn ethanol has brought on the world.

When government ends up subsidizing an industry or a program that ends up having poor unintended consequences, like we have experienced with corn ethanol, my trail test to those that favor deep government subsidies for projects that they deem essential to society is what happens if that program or policy turns out to not work as initially expected? Since Democrats, environmentalists, and even some Republicans continuously call for subsidizing “renewable” energy or “alternative” energy, what happens if government picks a loser and ends up wasting billions of taxpayer funds chasing a viable technology? I find it difficult to imagine that many of these groups would be comfortable with such a waste.

Now that many national and international organizations and government bodies have acknowledged the problems with corn ethanol, how long will it take our government to fix the problem? I bet that it will take at least a decade before subsidies for corn ethanol bio-fuels are reversed.

Environmentalists want higher gas prices just like oil companies, speculators, Wall Street robber barons...

As gas prices have started to quietly descend over the last couple of weeks, I wondered what must be the chatter be going about in “Greenie” blogs and websites ? What are their assessments and their strategy regarding lowered gas prices? Environmentalists have always wanted higher gas prices--just like in Europe, they would say--usually through a higher gas tax. The theory being that higher gas prices would force the general public into mass transit or smaller fuel efficient cars. Thus, saving the environment from unwanted carbon dioxide and shepherding new investments in clean alternative energy. You must admit, there has been a lot of schadenfreude and hand wringing hoisted on those souls who drive around in those hated SUV’s. High gas prices must have really cockled the most inner environmentalist in every Liberal and Progressive. It must have felt so good to be morally vindicated.

But what happens when gas prices go up so fast that Americans struggle to make ends meet? And then the average American starts to figure out that they can not afford to have expensive energy for the sake of environmentalist goals. Leaving billions of gallons of crude oil sitting idle off our shores has all of a sudden started to seem unreasonable.

The Democrats’ reply to domestic drilling was the same as was heard many years before—“It will take decades to get oil from off shore drilling,” “It won’t matter much to current prices,” and there is the usual, “speculators are the cause of higher oil prices.” None of these straw man arguments have dissuaded the American public however.

This is a curious development. If the prices are low, we go back to consuming more gasoline. This means less incentive for clean alternatives and more pollution but perhaps less public outcry for more domestic drilling. Higher gas prices mean…well, you know.

It seems that environmentalists and their political enablers have positioned themselves into a nasty little corner. The illogical goals of obstructing the development of proven and reliable sources of energy--particularly when those energy prices are very high and may be high for some time now or in the future--just doesn't make sense to the average person. Environmentalists and Democrats seem to want Americans to live with higher prices because that moves them closer, in their estimation, to their stated goals of clean alternative energy. Even as those supposed alternatives are far, far from being a reality; probably farther than their claim that off shore drilling will take to make a difference. Their goal is going to be mighty expensive and Americans may not be interested in their utopia.

If gas prices continue to drop, look for a call to a higher gas tax in the name of developing alternative energy or to dissuade people from driving.

American Energy Freedom Day

Will it come to pass?

HT: Andrew Roth

On No!! Exxon reports profits again!! Those evil bastards!

Exxon has reported its profits for the second quarter. I wait with baited breath (not) on how the neo-socialists howl to the heavens on the “unfairness” of it all and how Exxon and all oil companies need “investment on alternative energy.” Notwithstanding the open ended phrase that “investment on alternative energy” really is, check out how much in taxes Exxon paid along with those profits. Also, check out Carpe Diem’s post on how Exxon actually pays more taxes than the bottom 50 percent of taxpayers.

From CNN money: Exxon Mobil once again reported the largest quarterly profit in U.S. history Thursday, posting net income of $11.68 billion on revenue of $138 billion in the second quarter.

That profit works out to $1,485.55 a second.

That barely beat the previous corporate record of $11.66 billion, also set by Exxon in the fourth quarter of 2007.

"The fundamentals of our business remain strong," Henry Hubble, Exxon's vice president of investor relations, said on a conference call. "We continue to capture the benefit of strong industry conditions."

Also, check out posts on blogs of note on Oil drilling and opposition to it.

Shaving Leviathan: Democrats oppose Oil Company Private Property Rights

The Bobo Files: Obama announces his Energy Plan

Carpe Diem: Exxon posts record $32.36 Tax payment

Less driving, less pollution: Thank you, free-market!

From SFgate:
This year's record-shredding spike in gasoline prices has finally ended, with prices throughout the country falling by more than a penny per day.

And American drivers can thank themselves for the drop.

Shocked by prices that reached $4.11 per gallon nationwide and $4.61 in California, drivers stopped buying as much fuel. That cut the demand for gasoline's raw material, crude oil. Crude prices dropped as a result, taking gasoline prices with them.

High gas Prices are working—consumers are conserving gas by driving less or choosing alternatives. While I still think that high gas prices are a heavy tax on the average American, it should be noted that high gas prices have done more to get people out of their cars (and to choose fuel efficiency) than any preaching by the Sierra Club or any other environmental group.

(Graph by Mark J. Perry@Carpe Diem)

The world is running out of oil?

From FT.com

The Arctic holds as much as 90bn barrels of undiscovered oil and has as much undiscovered gas as all the reserves known to exist in Russia, US government scientists have said in the first governmental assessment of the region’s resources.

The report is likely to add impetus to the race among polar nations, such as Russia, the US, Denmark, Norway and Canada, for control of the region.

The US Geological Survey believes the Arctic holds 13 per cent of the world’s undiscovered oil, while 1,669,000bn cubic feet of natural gas is equivalent to 30 per cent of the world’s undiscovered gas reserves.

With large findings in the Caspian Sea, Brazil, and all the untapped reserves in the U.S.-- and now the Artic--somebody needs to challenge me on my theory that the world is not running out of oil; At least not anytime soon.

Here is another news link for this story

Around The Horn--Posts on Oil

Posts worthy of note and your time:

The Bobo Files has a petition to sign for those that want Congress to lift the moratorium on off-shore drilling.

Domestic oil myths are covered by The Historian at The Real World.

Shaving Leviathan comments on the controversial drilling at ANWR.

"Al Gore is our savior!"

Al Gore called for congress not to overturn a federal ban on offshore drilling recently. If congress had any collective wit about them, they should immediately dismiss his comments as the rantings of an unrealistic lunatic.

Mr. Gore seems to be living in a parallel universe where the average American can afford to chuck over $4 and more for a gallon of gasoline for lord knows how long--I guess until the miracle of “alternative energy” comes along full bore in 10, 15 years or more? Mr. Gore is a multi-millionaire with nary a worry about the effects of paying higher prices for energy. If ushering the era of a carbonless economy means bankrupting middle class Americans, then so be it: To indirectly suggest that Americans must sacrifice in order to usher in his radical vision of the new era--the “green” nirvana--strikes me as callous arrogance. Mr Gore suffers from a misplaced messianic complex.

Oil is discovered in Caspian Sea

So, it looks like a Swedish firm has made a nice find of oil in Russia’s north Caspian Sea. Try and guess how long it’s going to take them to start drilling. Do you think that it will take 5 years? Or perhaps it will maybe take 10 years? Nope. Try the end of September of this year. The Russians aren’t squeamish about putting their resources to work, that’s for sure.

BTW, with a major oil find off the coast of Brazil, this finding in the Caspian Sea and all the untapped potential in North America, the talk by people that constantly rail about oil running out very soon or how far past the world is from Hubbard’s Peak is sheer conspiracy babble.