Wednesday, October 27, 2010

With 6 days till mid-term elections...

The latest odds from Intrade, the prediction market:

Control of the House of Representatives after 2010 midterms:

Democrats 11.1% (no change from yesterday)
Republicans 88.9% (+0.7 from yesterday)

Number of seats in the House gained by Republicans in 2010 midterms:

50 or more House seats gained 79.9% (+8.0 from yesterday)

Control of the Senate after 2010 midterms:

Democrats 55.0% (-2.7 from yesterday)
Republicans 12.5% (-3.5 from yesterday)

Number of Senate seats held by Republicans after 2010 midterms:

45 or more Senate seats held 97.5% (+2.5 from yesterday)
46 or more Senate seats held 96.9% (+8.8 change from yesterday)
47 or more Senate seats held 89.0% (+3.9 from yesterday)
48 or more Senate seats held 78.9% (+3.8 from yesterday)
49 or more Senate seats held 48.5% (-0.5 from yesterday)
50 or more Senate seats held 30.0% (+2.5 from yesterday)

Sharon Angle currently has a 67.5% chance of bumping off Harry "the war is lost" Reid in Nevada.

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